|
To quote Jim Anchower,
“I know it's been a long time since I rapped at ya, but things
got crazy, if you know what I mean.” Gold soaring, paper
crumbling, banks shaky, economy in recession – but let’s talk
about my weekend.
Since this is a website that markets gold – not gold jewelry,
not gold collectibles, not the idea of gold or electronic
representations thereof, but actual gold in its most basic and
cost-efficient forms – it would seem that this would be a good
time to present an article about gold’s remarkable runup.
That commentary would include a lot of obvious stuff. For
instance, the fact that the gold price on Friday was within
lunch money of $1,000 per ounce, that it is up significantly not
only against the beleaguered and unloved dollar, but also
strongly higher against the euro, pound, yen, and pretty much
anything you can name.
Such an article would also mention that the credit crunch
continues on, crunching such notables as Carlyle Capital this
week to the tune of some $21.7 billion in funny paper, plus
making victims of just about every bank that you can name, and
many that you cannot.
For instance, I would put a word in somewhere about Citigroup,
who we’ve all heard of and some of us poor unfortunates even own
shares in, which has had cash infused into it from everywhere
over the past few weeks, but all that money must be leaking out
the other end, as its book deteriorates and its shares today
fetch less than half of what they did about five months ago. Is
it too big to fail? Probably. But still, it will be no fun
seeing its share price approach, uh, zero.
And although it’s not our style, we could scream “Recession!”
here in this crowded theatre, which would not doubt be answered
with cries of “So what else is new? Sit down and enjoy the
picture!”
We would also mention the current US presidential contenders,
AKA the Mod Squad (“One’s white, one’s black, and one’s
blonde!”), whose intelligence quotients of economic, fiscal, and
monetary knowledge seem to range from just plain wrong to ‘what
was the question again?’
Somehow we would throw the still-deflating housing market in
here somewhere. There are now a few million folks who are likely
to default on their mortgages within a year or so, and with
prices in a freefall, why shouldn’t they? If we were to face
reality in the US real estate market. we would all have to come
to grips with the fact that our current abodes, with few
exceptions, are worth about 65% to 70% of their inflated values
of two years ago. Worth that, of course, assuming that you could
find a buyer, and assuming that buyer could find a willing and
solvent lender.
And finally we would give a nod and a tip of the hat to our
friends and clients who have been telling us for a few years now
that the financial shenanigans of the past decade or so will
someday have dire repercussions, in the form of massive
collapses of derivative houses of cards in which real money was
put up against the phonus balonus, with not unforeseeable
results.
To these prescient ones, we must admit that all this time we
thought we were just hearing the ramblings of wild-eyed doom and
gloomers. You know, the kind who have stacks of gold and other
precious metals hidden away against the day when huge
institutions will fail and the only way to stave off a total
collapse of our economy (as we have known it) will be the Fed
and Treasury creating more & more & more & more & more & more &
more and more dollars, and therefore the only logical thing to
own will be gold. Can you imagine?
Like I said, somebody out there will write such an article,
explaining in detail the monumental train wreck which is the
economic, financial, and monetary times that we currently live
in.
But not me. I’m going to talk about last Saturday.
For some weeks now, I have had scheduled a local coin appraisal
down in Mesa, Arizona. A fellow called me a on a recommendation
from one of the local jewelers that we deal with, explaining
that he was the heir to eight metal WWII surplus ammo cans full
of coins, and he needed some help determining their value. It
sounded like quite a job, so we scheduled a visit at his house
this past Saturday, and at 9AM I rang his doorbell and was
ushered into a living room where the ammo cans were. I told him
that I would take a quick survey of what we were up against, and
then present him a plan for an appraisal. It didn’t look like
much of value, so we agreed to an appraisal price, and I went to
work.
Two hours later, I was looking at a $5 million coin – then Mint
director Charles Barber’s personal specimen of the 1907 roman
numeral ultra high relief $20 gold piece designed by Augustus
St. Gaudens. This example is virtually flawless, and graded by
PCGS as Proof-69 quality (on a 1 to 70 scale).
Only 24 ultra high relief $20 coins were struck, and this
example is far and away the finest in existence. It is one of
the top five expensive and desirable US coins, and will probably
be the first US coin to top the $10 million mark in value within
the next few years.
In 1907, after the striking of 24 specimens, a new die was
prepared with a slightly lower relief, and the mint struck some
11,000 examples of the roman numeral date high-relief double
eagles for general circulation. But unlike normal production
coins which are only struck once, each one of the high-relief
$20s required multiple blows of the dies to bring up all the
details.
At that time, the Mint was not too happy about President Teddy
Roosevelt’s order for them to make the high-relief coins, and
after a few weeks, practicality won out. The dies were modified
(flattened) so that $20 gold coins in the new design could be
easily produced in quantity, and the spectacular, metallic
quality high-relief coins were produced no more.
The flattened modification of St. Gaudens’ design was produced
from 1907 until the end of circulating monetary US gold coins in
1933. That same design was revived, and modified slightly once
again, for the bullion gold Eagles which were produced starting
in 1986, and that we sell today.
By the way, this coin wasn’t part of the ammo can collection. In
fact, I went to the American Numismatic Association’s spring
Money Show in Phoenix on Saturday after I got done in Mesa, and
that is where I saw this spectacular coin.
And the ammo cans? After about an hour’s search, I found that
they mostly held a bunch of junk. I separated out the silver
coins for the heir to this large fortune, and advised him to
take the other 200 pounds of coins to the bank.
-Richard Smith
|