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January 4th's gold price of $513 seems so long ago, yet it
was only about ten weeks past. With gold prices running up and
down the ladder in a range this month of $535 to $568, it should
be kept in mind that gold traded above $500 for the first time
in over 20 years just this past December. To say the least, this
is all new territory for gold.
2005 was gold's 5th consecutive year of higher prices. Yet, it
still feels like an accumulation phase, with people just sort of
tip-toeing away from the dollar. The graph of gold prices has
not yet gone parabolic, and we are still a ways from the tipping
point in which we see a real rush for the exits.
Will gold prices fluctuate this year? No doubt they will. But
the recent tumble in gold prices, from nearly $570 In February
down to the $535 level reached early on Friday 3/10/06, was
immediately met with this week’s rally of nearly $20. Of course,
the short term outlook for gold, as always, is anyone’s guess.
And our clients for the most part have the fairly low blood
pressures enjoyed by accumulators with a long-term plan, in
contrast to traders who have to sweat daily and hourly movements
in the market.
Our record sales for 2005 reflect a definite and growing
movement of money into physical precious metals. Many
motivations are at play. If nothing else, you can chalk it up to
the simple security achieved when earned dollar assets are
‘banked’ in that most traditional of manner – via conversion to
the timeless wealth known as gold. When stocks are choppy,
interest rates uncertain, the US economy a question mark, real
estate seemingly overblown, and the dollar an electronic cipher,
who among us doesn’t sleep a little better with some hard assets
tucked away?
On another note, I have received more favorable comments about
my January 29th story, “A Man Walks in With a Bar,” than about
any other of the articles that I have posted on this website in
its seven-year history. But, alas, I still don’t know the rest
of the story. As we left it, the two possessors of the ersatz
‘gold bullion bar’ have not come forward to finish the tale in
all its gory details. All I know is that the older man obtained
it from the Philippines some years prior, and somehow involved
the younger man in the project to cash it in, to the tune of the
younger fellow coughing up $30,000 cash American. Perhaps I’ll
never hear more, but if I do, so will you.
Gold, of course, is where you find it. Here in Arizona, a state
essentially founded on mineral wealth, we have on occasion
assayed and purchased gold as it comes out of the ground. For
instance, and initially to my complete surprise, from
sand-and-gravel operations.
I didn't ever give much thought to sand-and-gravel yards. Out
here, they are basically claims to large parcels of dry river
beds, marked by piles of rocks and sand. The essential function
of a sand-and-gravel is to take the mineral content of a stream
bed, and separate it through various size screeens into large
river rock, smaller sizes of rock, different grades of gravel,
and so forth on down to various finenesses of sand. Such is then
piled up, and sold to the construction and landscaping trades.
But the most interesting product of such operations is not
something which you can see piled up in the yard. In certain
parts of the West, the densest rock which filters down during
this winnowing process is native gold. Of course, this is
handled with a bit more secrecy than such an operation's more
prosaic products. After we were first hired to assay and refine
a batch of this placer gold (presented to us in gallon jars,
each weighing a few kilos), I no longer thought of such
businesses as boring, dirty, low margin enterprises ever again.
Besides serving our larger assay accounts, I have also met many
a weekend prospector, and examined their finds. For most of
them, armed with metal detectors or simple dry-wash equipment,
the pickings are fairly meager. But, it’s a great hobby that
brings people outdoors in the vast beauty of Arizona, and there
is no discounting the thrill of the hunt, and the possibility
that the next shovel-full could bear a sizeable bit of ‘color.’
Last year, I saw a customer of mine who, as a hobby, had spent
years seeking gold in the Lynx Creek area near Prescott, a town
which was once the territorial capital of Arizona. Lynx Creek
has been for over 150 years one of the most explored sources of
gold in Arizona. The early Arizona gold strikes were in that
area, and some commercial gold claims are being worked there
today in what is now a National Forest. Activity there started
in the 1850s, when miners fanned out all over the West after the
California strikes petered out. Many found gold-mining success
up in those piney woods, with Lynx Creek right in the middle of
it.
Because of that history, I would have thought that the chances
of scoring a sizeable nugget from that played-out area were
pretty slim. But our customer discovered a bit of a geological
anomaly up there: in one part of Lynx Creek, the creek-bottom is
solid rock, but he and a friend found a section where there was
a crack in the rock that went the width of the creek. They
rigged a long pole with a spoon-like contraption on the end, and
with that, ‘spooned’ up what they could in the way of mud,
stones, and debris that had fallen through the crack over the
ages. One day, they brought up one of the largest natural gold
nuggets that we have even seen from an Arizona digging, a smooth
and somewhat porous piece of nearly pure gold weighing about an
ounce and a quarter.
Which is to say, there is still gold out there. And sometimes,
it’s found in the most obvious places. Earlier this month at our
store in Arizona, we received a phone call from a young woman
whose great-aunt had some placer gold from the Sierras, home of
the original California gold rush of 1849. It seems that her
great-uncle owned some 20 acres a few miles from the aptly-named
Placerville, and through the middle of the property ran a
stream. In 2002, at the age of 80, this fellow had started some
gold dredging in that stream, more or less as a hobby.
Now, a gold dredge is simply a machine that floats on water for
the purpose of gold mining. Dredges can be huge, the
industrial-sized ones used in large streams being as big as the
riverboats that Mark Twain used to pilot on the Mississippi. No
matter what the size of the dredge, the function is the same:
scour the stream-bottom and scoop the mud and rock aboard, where
it is sifted and sorted, and the placer (naturally occurring
“native” gold, usually in the form of small, smooth nuggets that
have been tumbling down the river for eons) is separated out.
This fellow’s dredge had been small, a one-man model less than
six feet long. The story was, he had spent a few summers playing
around with the thing. Since then he had passed away, and his
widow, wanting to realize the value of his take, had engaged her
niece to find out how to market the nuggets and little flakes of
gold that had been left.
She brought in three little vials of gold, and also two
substantial nuggets, the nuggets weighing more than an ounce
apiece. I explained to the young woman that placer gold from
that part of the world normally assays 85% pure gold or slightly
better. We finally settled on a price for the two nuggets for
outright purchase, and sent the small pieces off to be assayed.
In about a week, I called her with assay results (87.5% pure, by
the way), and mailed her final settlement check. Along the way,
I was told that the great-aunt is holding onto the largest
nugget, one which is several ounces in weight, an egg-shaped
piece smoothed by its millennia-long trip from the mother lode
high in the Sierras, down the stream to the acreage near
Placerville.
They’re not of a mind to part with it yet, but I certainly hope
to at least see it someday.
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